Structural Slumps

The Modern Equilibrium Theory of Unemployment, Interest, and Assets

Edmund S. Phelps

Preface

Introduction

Concepts and Agenda

Modern Equilibrium Theory

Contrary Postulates of the Neoclassical Schools

The Labor-Market Equilibrium Locus in Modern Models

The Product-Market Equilibrium Locus and Partial-Equilibrium Unemployment Determination

Capital-Market Equilibrium, Neoclassical and Modern, and General-Equilibrium Employment

Key Factors in the Structuralist Theory of Unemployment Fluctuation

The Closed Economy: Working Models

A Turnover-Training Model

A Customer-Market Model

A Two-Sector Fixed-Investment Model

Synthesis of the Single-Economy Theory

Small and Large Open Economies: Working Models

International Linkages through Investment in Employees

International Linkages through Investment in Customers

International Linkages through Investment in Fixed Capital

Synthesis of the Global-Economy Theory

Microtheoretic Formulations, Modern and Neoclassical

Interest and Wealth in the Microeconomics of the Incentive Wage and Equilibrium Unemployment

Structural Shifts and Economic Activity in Neoclassical Theory

Empirical Evidence

Econometric Tests of the Theory: A Postwar Cross-Country Time-Series Study

A Concise Nonmonetary History of Postwar Economic Activity

Concluding Notes

Notes on Classicism, Etc.

Economic Policies to Which the Structuralist Theory Might Lead

Notes

Glossary of Frequently Used Symbols

Index