- Introduction
- I. The Development of Mathematical Statistics in Astronomy and Geodesy before 1827
- 1. Least Squares and the Combination of Observations
- Legendre in 1805
- Cotes’s Rule
- Tobias Mayer and the Libration of the Moon
- Saturn, Jupiter, and Euler
- Laplace’s Rescue of the Solar System
- Roger Boscovich and the Figure of the Earth
- Laplace and the Method of Situation
- Legendre and the Invention of Least Squares
- 2. Probabilists and the Measurement of Uncertainty
- Jacob Bernoulli
- De Moivre and the Expanded Binomial
- Bernoulli’s Failure
- De Moivre’s Approximation
- De Moivre’s Deficiency
- Simpson and Bayes
- Simpson’s Crucial Step toward Error
- A Bayesian Critique
- 3. Inverse Probability
- Laplace and Inverse Probability
- The Choice of Means
- The Deduction of a Curve of Errors in 1772–1774
- The Genesis of Inverse Probability
- Laplace’s Memoirs of 1777–1781
- The Error Curve of 1777
- Bayes and the Binomial
- Laplace the Analyst
- Nonuniform Prior Distributions
- The Central Limit Theorem
- The Gauss–Laplace Synthesis
- Gauss in 1809
- Reenter Laplace
- A Relative Maturity: Laplace and the Tides of the Atmosphere
- The Situation in 1827
- 1. Least Squares and the Combination of Observations
- II. The Struggle to Extend a Calculus of Probabilities to the Social Sciences
- 5. Quetelet’s Two Attempts
- The de Keverberg Dilemma
- The Average Man
- The Analysis of Conviction Rates
- Poisson and the Law of Large Numbers
- Poisson and Juries
- Comte and Poinsot
- Cournot’s Critique
- The Hypothesis of Elementary Errors
- The Fitting of Distributions: Quetelismus
- 6. Attempts to Revive the Binomial
- Lexis and Binomial Dispersion
- Arbuthnot and the Sex Ratio at Birth
- Buckle and Campbell
- The Dispersion of Series
- Lexis’s Analysis and Interpretation
- Why Lexis Failed
- Lexian Dispersion after Lexis
- 7. Psychophysics as a Counterpoint
- The Personal Equation
- Fechner and the Method of Right and Wrong Cases
- Ebbinghaus and Memory
- 5. Quetelet’s Two Attempts
- III. A Breakthrough in Studies of Heredity
- 8. The English Breakthrough: Galton
- Galton, Edgeworth, Pearson
- Galton’s Hereditary Genius and the Statistical Scale
- Conditions for Normality
- The Quincunx and a Breakthrough
- Reversion
- Symmetric Studies of Stature
- Data on Brothers
- Estimating Variance Components
- Galton’s Use of Regression
- Correlation
- 9. The Next Generation: Edgeworth
- The Critics’ Reactions to Galton’s Work
- Pearson’s Initial Response
- Francis Ysidro Edgeworth
- Edgeworth’s Early Work in Statistics
- The Link with Galton
- Edgeworth, Regression, and Correlation
- Estimating Correlation Coefficients
- Edgeworth’s Theorem
- 10. Pearson and Yule
- Pearson the Statistician
- Skew Curves
- The Pearson Family of Curves
- Pearson versus Edgeworth
- Pearson and Correlation
- Yule, the Poor Law, and Least Squares: The Second Synthesis
- The Situation in 1900
- 8. The English Breakthrough: Galton
- Appendix A. Syllabus for Edgeworth’s 1885 Lectures
- Appendix B. Syllabus for Edgeworth’s 1892 Newmarch Lectures
- Suggested Readings
- Bibliography
- Index


The History of Statistics
The Measurement of Uncertainty before 1900
Product Details
PAPERBACK
$42.00 • £36.95 • €38.95
ISBN 9780674403413
Publication Date: 03/01/1990